File:2016 Electoral Prediction.svg
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Original file (SVG file, nominally 1,020 × 593 pixels, file size: 35 KB)
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Summary
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| Description |
English: Loosely based on Realclearpolitics polls.
Safe D (161)
Lean D (91)
Tossup (111)
Lean R (99)
Safe R (83)
Using this model, we can expect Clinton to receive anywhere between 200 and 462 electoral votes, and Trump anywhere between 84 and 384. For Trump to win, he would need to win all Safe R, Lean R, and Tossup, as well as at least one Lean D with 5 electoral votes or more. For Clinton to win, she would need to win all Safe D, and Lean D. Independent candidate Evan McMullin may also receive up to 6 electoral votes due to tossup in Utah. One possible way for no candidates to reach 270 to occur is for Trump to win AL, AK, AZ, AR, CO, FL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NC, ND, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, WV, and WY (264); Clinton to win CA, CT, DE, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, VA, WA, and WI (268); and McMullin to win UT (6). This would force the House of Representatives to vote on a candidate, between Clinton, Trump, and McMullin. |
| Date | |
| Source | Own work. Derived from File:ElectoralCollege2016.svg. |
| Author | Kingofthedead |
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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
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File history
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| Date/Time | Thumbnail | Dimensions | User | Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | 00:49, 8 November 2016 | | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Adding Nebraska's 2nd district |
| 00:43, 8 November 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | This will likely be the final update; NH back to lean D, Michigan to tossup, Ohio to lean R | |
| 02:58, 5 November 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Update:NM and NJ to lean D | |
| 03:56, 4 November 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Utah to lean R, NH and GA to tossup | |
| 00:42, 3 November 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Updating | |
| 03:22, 1 November 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Colorado to tossup per recent poll (Clinton up by 1) | |
| 17:08, 29 October 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Georgia and Iowa to tossup based on recent polling (tied in Iowa, Trump +1 in Georgia) | |
| 23:30, 25 October 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | NV back to tossup, SD to lean R based on recent polls | |
| 23:54, 24 October 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Alaska to "Lean R" | |
| 00:09, 22 October 2016 |  | 1,020 × 593 (35 KB) | Kingofthedead (talk | contribs) | Nevada to "Lean D" based on recent polling |
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