File:20200508 W B 7948 293 E 16574 981 P 16291 106.png
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Summary
[edit]Description20200508 W B 7948 293 E 16574 981 P 16291 106.png |
English: Logistic growth model fits for hospitalised COVID-19 cases in Belgium for data from 15/03/2020 until 07/05/2020. We can make out two phases separated by the yellow horizontal line. One from 15/03/2020 until 31/03/2020 (with a fit in green) and the one from 01/04/2020 until 07/05/2020 (with a fit in blue).
The initial phase (green) had exponential growth/decline rate of 29.3% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 7948. The second phase (blue) has exponential growth/decline rate of 9.81% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 16574. Also shown in purple is the fitted new hospitalisations from 01/04/2020 until 07/05/2020 (corresponding to the blue fit for cumulative data). Beyond the 7th of May the curves shown are only a trend according to the logistic growth model, these have an uncertainty range associated to them and should not be seen as a prediction. |
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Source | Own work |
Author | Stigin |
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current | 13:16, 8 May 2020 | 1,890 × 1,199 (145 KB) | Stigin (talk | contribs) | Uploaded own work with UploadWizard |
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