File:A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk (IA amethodologyfors1094530596).pdf

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A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk   (Wikidata search (Cirrus search) Wikidata query (SPARQL)  Create new Wikidata item based on this file)
Author
Harrison, William G.
Title
A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Description

This thesis examines the problems affecting the quantitative assessment of technical risk in Department of Defense major weapon systems acquisition. A decision Theory approach is used. Commercial techniques and current DoD methods of technical risk assessment are investigated. TASCFORM TM technology values are used in a linear regression model to characterize the growth of technology over time. The model residuals provide a probability distribution for estimating the likelihood of achieving a specified level of technical performance. The benefit of a utility function describing technical risk perceptions is considered. The Expanded Pearson-Tukey method of describing risk is also investigated. Continued research into technology valuation techniques is recommended. A test case application of the Expanded Pearson-Tukey method is also recommended, to determine its ability to provide reliable and timely quantitative technical risk information. Weapon System Acquisition, Decision Theory, Risk Assessment, Technical Risk, Utility Theory.


Subjects: Weapon System Acquisition; Decision Theory; Risk Assessment; Technical Risk; Utility Theory
Language English
Publication date June 1992
publication_date QS:P577,+1992-06-00T00:00:00Z/10
Current location
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink
Accession number
amethodologyfors1094530596
Source
Internet Archive identifier: amethodologyfors1094530596
https://archive.org/download/amethodologyfors1094530596/amethodologyfors1094530596.pdf
Permission
(Reusing this file)
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. As such, it is in the public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States Code, Section 105, may not be copyrighted.

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Public domain
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code. Note: This only applies to original works of the Federal Government and not to the work of any individual U.S. state, territory, commonwealth, county, municipality, or any other subdivision. This template also does not apply to postage stamp designs published by the United States Postal Service since 1978. (See § 313.6(C)(1) of Compendium of U.S. Copyright Office Practices). It also does not apply to certain US coins; see The US Mint Terms of Use.

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current08:08, 8 July 2020Thumbnail for version as of 08:08, 8 July 20201,275 × 1,650, 153 pages (7.62 MB) (talk | contribs)FEDLINK - United States Federal Collection amethodologyfors1094530596 (User talk:Fæ/IA books#Fork8) (batch 1990-1992 #2964)

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