File:A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk (IA amethodologyfors1094530596).pdf
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Summary[edit]
A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk ( ) | |
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Author |
Harrison, William G. |
Title |
A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk |
Publisher |
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School |
Description |
This thesis examines the problems affecting the quantitative assessment of technical risk in Department of Defense major weapon systems acquisition. A decision Theory approach is used. Commercial techniques and current DoD methods of technical risk assessment are investigated. TASCFORM TM technology values are used in a linear regression model to characterize the growth of technology over time. The model residuals provide a probability distribution for estimating the likelihood of achieving a specified level of technical performance. The benefit of a utility function describing technical risk perceptions is considered. The Expanded Pearson-Tukey method of describing risk is also investigated. Continued research into technology valuation techniques is recommended. A test case application of the Expanded Pearson-Tukey method is also recommended, to determine its ability to provide reliable and timely quantitative technical risk information. Weapon System Acquisition, Decision Theory, Risk Assessment, Technical Risk, Utility Theory. Subjects: Weapon System Acquisition; Decision Theory; Risk Assessment; Technical Risk; Utility Theory |
Language | English |
Publication date |
June 1992 publication_date QS:P577,+1992-06-00T00:00:00Z/10 |
Current location |
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink |
Accession number |
amethodologyfors1094530596 |
Source | |
Permission (Reusing this file) |
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. As such, it is in the public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States Code, Section 105, may not be copyrighted. |
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Public domainPublic domainfalsefalse |
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This file has been identified as being free of known restrictions under copyright law, including all related and neighboring rights. |
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current | 08:08, 8 July 2020 | 1,275 × 1,650, 153 pages (7.62 MB) | Fæ (talk | contribs) | FEDLINK - United States Federal Collection amethodologyfors1094530596 (User talk:Fæ/IA books#Fork8) (batch 1990-1992 #2964) |
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Short title | A methodology for assessing acquisition technical risk |
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Author | Harrison, William G. |
File change date and time | 04:04, 30 August 2011 |
Date and time of digitizing | 03:36, 17 October 2008 |
Date metadata was last modified | 04:04, 30 August 2011 |
Software used | Harrison, William G. |
Conversion program | Adobe Acrobat 8.12 Paper Capture Plug-in |
Encrypted | no |
Page size |
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Version of PDF format | 1.4 |